Level 2 – Alert and Readiness
There is a 70% probability of severe cold weather/icy conditions/heavy snow between 0000 on Thursday 21 Jan and 0900 on Monday 25 Jan in parts of England. This weather could increase the health risks to vulnerable patients and disrupt the delivery of services. Please refer to the national Cold Weather Plan and your Trust’s emergency plan for appropriate preventive action.
Please refer to the national Cold Weather Plan and your Trust’s emergency plan for appropriate preventive action.
An update will be issued when the alert level changes in any region. Alerts are issued once a day by 0900 if required and are not subject to amendment in between standard issue times. Note that the details of the forecast weather are valid at the time of issue but may change over the period that an alert remains in force. These details will not be updated here unless the alert level also changes, the latest forecast details can be obtained at the following link: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/#?tab=map
Regional Risk Assessments for occurrence of Cold Weather conditions between 00:00 Local Time on Thursday and 09:00 Local Time on Monday.
The areas that are likely to be affected are:
As Storm Christoph begins to clear to the east though the early hours of Thursday morning, there is an increasing risk of rain turning to snow for several hours. There remains a large amount of uncertainty in the exact position and track of this snow, but currently it is expected to fall mainly over high ground of the Pennines and Lake District, with a risk of 5-10cm in parts. The clearance of Storm Christoph will herald a change to colder air being introduced from the northwest bringing an increasing risk of cold weather into the weekend and perhaps the early part of next week. Frost and ice will become increasingly probable over northern parts of England, with some frosty nights across the south. Showers that fall in exposed parts of western and northern England could turn to sleet and snow over the weekend, but again there remains low confidence on any details at this stage.
The PHE Cold Weather Plan can be accessed at the following link:
A range of free resources from the Stay Well This Winter campaign can be downloaded or ordered here:
To aid local planning, listed below are the Local Resilience Forum (LRFs) matched against their regions.
Issued by: Duty Meteorologist, Tel: 0370 900 0100 (C) Crown Copyright 2021. All Rights Reserved